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Edmund Phelps Dies at 92, Redefining How We View Inflation
Posted by
CEO Thomas Prendergast on May 20, 2026 - 12:15am

- Phelps helped popularize the idea that there is an equilibrium rate of unemployment rooted in the economy’s fundamentals. Attempts to push unemployment below this natural rate through higher inflation are unsustainable in the long run.
- Wages and prices adjust as workers and firms form expectations. When people anticipate inflation, contracts and decisions adapt, weakening any temporary impact on employment.
- A credible stabilization strategy—anchoring inflation expectations and prioritizing price stability—can foster healthier, longer-lasting employment outcomes than strategies that rely on inflationary boosts.
- Phelps emphasized that the labor market is dynamic. Structural changes, skill mismatches, and information flow shape how unemployment evolves, not just short-term demand shifts.