x
Long-Term Analysis
A new congestion area is arising between $3300 and $7000. Current quotes are covering the range up and down boosted by volatility. The churn could go on at least for another two months—a break out of it, perhaps to the upside. Following Mass Psychology´s phases and development, Hope turned into Disbelief rather than Optimism. Every YouTuber stopped spreading bullish opinions due to the bearish correction anticipated in the charts. A distribution area is increasing its influence as demand decreases, to drive the same breakout idea down to next support near $3000 or below. External factors and financial news started bringing grounds to a natural integration of Bitcoin to global portfolios as an accepted asset in the mid-term future. So while the bullish idea gets back, values would go lateral until halving ends in May.
After a big Head and Shoulders formation confirmed, bitcoin prices fell to $3800 and started a new side-ways movement. A partial reversal movement to $6800 and beyond took place as expected as a kind of confirmation to activate the current late $3000 basis points scenario. Still, after that happened, the downward would take place in $3000 during the zig-zag action. An inverted Flag formation activated a bearish target, which could be softened by positive political factors from traditional mass media. Measurable indicators work as a sustaining net to contextualize with traditional formations and to calculate every target.
Japanese Candlestick evaluation favors the distribution with healthy crows defeating dispersed soldiers. Kicking them down to support a lower support area. This lowering action follows the Elliot Wave Theory, and anticipation of a bearish 3rd movement. Heading price quotes down to $3300, even as volatility provides some isolated peaks near $6000. According to Fibonacci Fan lines, the next stage could be a central sustaining area arise plenty of volatility. After halving, demand´ soldiers should reorder themselves to clash against the crows with a chance to prevail, but for the moment, they can badly defend $4000 levels as support.
Article Produced By
Ramiro Burgos
Ramiro is a technical analyst specializing in stocks, futures, options and Bitcoin. He provides weekly analysis on the bitcoin price for Bitsonline. Based in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Ramiro has worked in the financial industry since 1987, with his technical analyses appearing in local and global news publications.
