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A distribution area between $10000 and $7000 could oversell the market before sending values down to $5000. Quotes could be covering a wide range up and down with plenty of volatility levels at least for another three weeks. Before a breakout of it, perhaps to the downside, but now the leading indicators seem to be exhausted. Following the Mass Psychology´s phases and development of the Disbelief phase is on due to the weakness of the uptrend. A distribution area is increasing by the offer and demand is missing, to drive the breakout idea down to next support near $5000 or below. External factors and News stopped bringing a base to a natural integration of Bitcoin into global portfolios as an accepted asset. possibly in the mid-term future, and values would go lateral from now to June.
A partial reversal movement took place as expected as a kind of confirmation to activate the current new $3000 basis points scenario. Positive political factors from traditional mass media and promises for the future could attract the public. To be able to receive the massive selling distribution from Smart Money and Institutional Investors precisely at this level.Measurable indicators can´t sustain any idea of a further bullish development. Now, they do not work as a sustaining net anymore, while traditional formations reflect the market weakness. Even volatility provides some isolated peaks near $10000, and the trend seems to be going down. According to Fibonacci Fan lines, the next stage could be a mid-level sustaining area, arising plenty of volatility could recognize an intermediate level at $5000 as a probable Dead Cat Bounce. After halving, demand´ soldiers should reorder themselves. To clash against the crows with a chance to prevail in a reversal scenario from June.
Article Produced By
Ramiro Burgos
Ramiro is a technical analyst specializing in stocks, futures, options and Bitcoin. He provides weekly analysis on the bitcoin price for Bitsonline. Based in Buenos Aires, Argentina, Ramiro has worked in the financial industry since 1987, with his technical analyses appearing in local and global news publications.
