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"BTC is well below its highs, most altcoins are bleeding out, and everyone’s asking the same thing: how low will crypto go if we’re in a bear market?
In this video, we dig into BTC’s past crashes, today’s ETF and derivatives-driven market structure, and what it could all mean for the next bear market floor.
If you’re worried about another crypto winter, and you’re not sure where things are going, you won’t want to miss this video."
~ Coin Bureau
The video explores the potential floor for Bitcoin (BTC) in a bear market, offering a historical baseline that suggests a 70-80% draw down from the assumed $126,000 cycle peak would put the low around $30,000, with the bottom potentially arriving in late 2026 or early 2027, based on past cycle durations of 12 to 15 months. The analysis also considers that a more mature market, characterized by consistent institutional ETF flows and corporate accumulation, could result in a shallower correction, possibly limiting BTC's drop to the $50,000 to $60,000 demand zone. Conversely, the worst-case scenario, driven by a severe global macro shock or a leverage-induced cascade, could push prices below $30,000. Regardless of BTC's floor, the video warns that altcoins, including Ethereum, are likely to experience significantly harder and faster drops, historically ranging from 80% to over 90% draw-downs, emphasizing the need for robust risk management.
0:00 Intro
1:00 Historical BTC Bear Markets
4:40 When Bottom?
8:11 Factors Supporting A Less-Severe Bear Market
12:46 Possibility Of A More-Severe Bear Market
16:49 What About Altcoins?
Source - Coin Bureau YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hK0NRoFEIHY
Disclaimer: This video is provided for informational purposes only, and not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other advice.
