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"Is the legendary 4-Year Cycle officially over? Bitcoin’s recent performance has left investors confused and frustrated, with no blow-off top in sight and a December downturn instead of a moonshot.
In this video, we break down why the market may be shifting toward a 3-Year Liquidity Cycle, driven by institutional flows, ETF dampening, and macroeconomic shifts. If you're still using the old playbook, it might be time to rethink your strategy."
~ Coin Bureau
This video explores the idea that the traditional four-year cryptocurrency cycle, driven by the Bitcoin halving, has evolved or even died as of late 2025. The presenter explains that the expected massive price explosion at the end of 2025 failed to materialize because the market has matured through the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have reduced volatility and shifted the influence from emotional retail investors to calculating institutional players. While Q4 2025 saw a significant price correction rather than a parabolic rally, the video argues that the cycle hasn't ended but has instead shifted to a timeline driven by global liquidity and central bank policies.
Experts suggest that the actual market peak may now land in mid-2026, as the Federal Reserve ends quantitative tightening and money supply begins to expand again. Ultimately, the video advises viewers to stop waiting for a singular blowoff top and instead adopt a strategy of dollar-cost averaging out, as the market transitions into a more stable, institutional-led secular bull market.
0:00 Intro – Why the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Failed in 2025
1:39 Bitcoin Price Crash Explained – Worst Q4 Since 2018
3:02 Bitcoin ETFs Changed the Market Forever
5:46 Liquidity Cycle Replaces the Halving Cycle
7:16 Crypto Strategy for 2026 – Exit Plans Without a Blow-Off Top
Source - Coin Bureau YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oOu6fEOC4zo
Disclaimer: This video is provided for informational purposes only, and not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other advice.
